• About
    • Which Energy Mix is this?
  • Climate News Network Archive
  • Contact
Celebrating our 1,000th edition. The climate news you need
No Result
View All Result
The Energy Mix
  • Canada
  • UK & Europe
  • Fossil Fuels
  • Ending Emissions
  • Community Climate Finance
  • Clean Electricity Grid
  • Cities & Communities
SUBSCRIBE
DONATE
  • Canada
  • UK & Europe
  • Fossil Fuels
  • Ending Emissions
  • Community Climate Finance
  • Clean Electricity Grid
  • Cities & Communities
SUBSCRIBE
DONATE
No Result
View All Result
The Energy Mix
No Result
View All Result
  FEATURED
Soaring Fertilizer Prices Could Deliver ‘Silver Lining’ For Emissions, But Farmers Struggle to Limit Use June 26, 2022
BREAKING: UN Nature Summit, the ‘Paris Conference for Biodiversity’, Moves to Montreal in December June 19, 2022
‘LET’S SUE BIG OIL’: Legal Team Launches Class Action Campaign for B.C. Municipalities June 17, 2022
‘It Could Have Been Any of Us’, Colleague Says, After Brazil Confirms Murders of Bruno Pereira, Dom Phillips June 17, 2022
Infrastructure Gap a ‘Life and Death’ Matter as Northern Canada Warms June 17, 2022
Next
Prev
Home Climate & Society Carbon Levels & Measurement

Global Emissions Set to Exceed 1.5°C Paris Goal, IPCC Draft Report Warns

January 14, 2018
Reading time: 3 minutes

Dawn Ellner/flickr

Dawn Ellner/flickr

 

Countries’ greenhouse gas emissions are on track to exceed the 1.5°C long-term target for average global warming that countries adopted in Paris in 2015, according to a leaked draft of an upcoming science report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

The second draft of the report, obtained by both Reuters and InsideClimate News, “estimated that humanity could emit just 580 billion tonnes of greenhouse gases to give a better than 50% chance of limiting warming to 1.5°C—roughly 12 to 16 years at current rates of emissions,” writes Reuters correspondent Alister Doyle.

“Delayed action or weak near-term policies increase the likelihood of exceeding the 1.5°C target,” the IPCC notes. “The risks to human societies through impacts on health, livelihood, food and water security, human security, and infrastructure are higher with 1.5°C of global warming compared to today, and higher still with 2.0°C global warming compared with 1.5°.”

And if the 1.5°C threshold is breached, “those most at risk will be individuals and communities experiencing multidimensional poverty, persistent vulnerabilities, and various forms of deprivation and disadvantage.”

The draft, which has yet to undergo multiple revisions before it is formally released in October, projects that average temperature increases are on track to reach 1.5°C by the 2040s, Reuters states. “Curbing warming to 1.5C would help limit heat extremes, droughts and floods, more migration of people, and even risks of conflict compared to higher rates of warming,” Doyle writes, citing the IPCC’s draft summary for policy-makers. But “there were no historic precedents for the scale of changes required in energy use, to shift from fossil fuels to renewable energies, and in reforms ranging from agriculture to industry to stay below the 1.5°C limit.”

For humanity to hit the 1.5°C target by mid-century, the IPCC said renewable energy must become the dominant form of primary energy supply, and coal must be phased out rapidly. Even then, the report calls for technologies to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.

“That could mean planting vast forests, which soak up carbon dioxide as they grow, or building power plants that burn wood or other plant matter and then capturing and burying the carbon dioxide they release,” Doyle notes. “But that might not be feasible because forests could divert land from food crops.”

InsideClimate News still calls the report a “landmark work in progress”, pointing to its “careful attention to questions of ethics and justice”. It states that policies must be “guided by concerns for equity and fairness and enhanced support for eradicating poverty and reducing inequalities”, and calls for “interdisciplinary research and reflection” on the “complex ethics questions” raised by a 1.5°C scenario.

Among other scenarios, the report asks how even a 1.5°C will affect human rights for the world’s most vulnerable, “including their rights to water, shelter, food, health and life? How will it affect the rights of the urban and rural poor, Indigenous communities, women, children, the elderly and people with disabilities?”

The IPCC appeared to take umbrage at the news leaks, noting in a release that “draft reports are provided to reviewers as working documents. They are not intended for public distribution, and must not be quoted or cited.” That’s because “the text can change substantially between the Second Order Draft and the final version once the report’s authors have carefully considered every individual government and expert review comment.” As well, scientific papers accepted for publication up to May 15, 2018 might still be taken into account in the final draft.

“Like any work in progress, it is important to respect the authors and give them the time and space to finish writing before making the work public,” the IPCC stated.



in Carbon Levels & Measurement, CCS & Negative Emissions, Climate Impacts & Adaptation, COP Conferences, Ending Emissions, Food Security, Forests & Deforestation, Health & Safety, International Agencies & Studies

The latest climate news and analysis, direct to your inbox

Subscribe

Related Posts

David/flickr
United States

U.S. Supreme Court Expected to Gut Emission Controls as Climate Scientists Petition for Plan B

June 26, 2022
580
pxhere
Environmental Justice

Environmental Racism Bill Passes Second Reading in House of Commons

June 26, 2022
79
Graco/Facebook
Food Security

Soaring Fertilizer Prices Could Deliver ‘Silver Lining’ For Emissions, But Farmers Struggle to Limit Use

June 27, 2022
116

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

I agree to the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy.

Trending Stories

David/flickr

U.S. Supreme Court Expected to Gut Emission Controls as Climate Scientists Petition for Plan B

June 26, 2022
580
Graco/Facebook

Soaring Fertilizer Prices Could Deliver ‘Silver Lining’ For Emissions, But Farmers Struggle to Limit Use

June 27, 2022
116
Konrad Summers/Kern West Oil Museum via Wikimedia Commons

Imperial Oil Backs Lithium Recovery Project in Alberta’s Leduc Oilfield

June 26, 2022
97
pxhere

Environmental Racism Bill Passes Second Reading in House of Commons

June 26, 2022
79
stockvault

Animal Agriculture Could Reduce Future Pandemic Risk, UK Researchers Say

June 26, 2022
73
Gustavo Petro Urrego/flickr

Colombia’s President-Elect Has ‘Ambitious’ Plans to Halt Amazon Deforestation

June 26, 2022
67

Recent Posts

Adam E. Moreira/wikimedia commons

Suspend Transit Fares, Not Gas Tax, Climate Advocates Urge Biden

June 26, 2022
55
moerschy / Pixabay

Pandemic Drives Up Support for Climate Action, Pessimism About Elected Leaders

June 26, 2022
27
hellomike/flickr

No Public Input as Canada Finalizes Climate Plan for Airlines

June 27, 2022
37
Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung Southeast Asia/wikimedia commons

Japan, Korea Sell Vietnam on Gas Amid Crackdown on Climate Activists

June 26, 2022
22
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Featured_picture_candidates/Barrow_Offshore_Wind_Farm

Global Offshore Wind Pipeline Doubles to 846 Gigawatts

June 26, 2022
38
TAFE SA TONSLEY/Flickr

U.S. Renewables Industries Scramble to Reuse, Recycle Before Waste Volumes Skyrocket

June 26, 2022
63
Next Post
Chris Lim/Wikimedia Commons

Renewables Keep Beating Fossil Energy on Price, IRENA Proclaims

The Energy Mix

Copyright 2022 © Smarter Shift Inc. and Energy Mix Productions Inc. All rights reserved.

Navigate Site

  • About
  • Contact
  • Privacy Policy and Copyright
  • Cookie Policy

Follow Us

No Result
View All Result
  • Canada
  • UK & Europe
  • Fossil Fuels
  • Ending Emissions
  • Community Climate Finance
  • Clean Electricity Grid
  • Cities & Communities

Copyright 2022 © Smarter Shift Inc. and Energy Mix Productions Inc. All rights reserved.

Manage Cookie Consent
To provide the best experiences, we use technologies like cookies to store and/or access device information. Consenting to these technologies will allow us to process data such as browsing behaviour or unique IDs on this site. Not consenting or withdrawing consent, may adversely affect certain features and functions.
Functional Always active
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
Preferences
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
Statistics
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes. The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
Marketing
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
Manage options Manage services Manage vendors Read more about these purposes
View preferences
{title} {title} {title}