• About
    • Which Energy Mix is this?
  • Climate News Network Archive
  • Contact
The climate news that makes a difference.
No Result
View All Result
The Energy Mix
  • Canada
  • UK & Europe
  • Fossil Fuels
  • Ending Emissions
  • Community Climate Finance
  • Clean Electricity Grid
  • Cities & Communities
SUBSCRIBE
DONATE
  • Canada
  • UK & Europe
  • Fossil Fuels
  • Ending Emissions
  • Community Climate Finance
  • Clean Electricity Grid
  • Cities & Communities
SUBSCRIBE
DONATE
No Result
View All Result
The Energy Mix
No Result
View All Result
  • Canada
  • UK & Europe
  • Fossil Fuels
  • Ending Emissions
  • Community Climate Finance
  • Clean Electricity Grid
  • Cities & Communities
  FEATURED
BP Predicts Faster Oil and Gas Decline as Clean Energy Spending Hits $1.1T in 2022 January 31, 2023
Canada Needs Oil and Gas Emissions Cap to Hit 2030 Goal: NZAB January 31, 2023
Ecuador’s Amazon Drilling Plan Shows Need for Fossil Non-Proliferation Treaty January 31, 2023
Rainforest Carbon Credits from World’s Biggest Provider are ‘Largely Worthless’, Investigation Finds January 31, 2023
Danske Bank Quits New Fossil Fuel Financing January 23, 2023
Next
Prev

Less mild weather ahead as world warms

January 30, 2017
Reading time: 4 minutes
Primary Author: Tim Radford

 

The warming atmosphere will mean a rise in mild weather for parts of the US, scientists find, but a gradual global drop. 

LONDON, 30 January, 2017 – Thanks to climate change, there will be more perfect days in President Trump’s America. Those will be the days that are “neither too hot, too cold, too humid nor rainy”, when the highest temperatures hover between 18°C and 30°C, and when less than 1mm of rain falls.

  • Be among the first to read The Energy Mix Weekender
  • A brand new weekly digest containing exclusive and essential climate stories from around the world.
  • The Weekender:The climate news you need.
New!
Subscribe

This is the weather for walks, bicycle rides, picnics and music festivals. But the mellow moments will not be evenly distributed. The number of mild winter days will go up, but for many the number of mild summer days will fall, and Donald Trump’s Florida in particular will experience less benign weather overall as global temperatures rise.

Meanwhile, in a world 2°C warmer, Australia will confront a different experience: extreme rainfall events that will be up to 30% rainier, even in those regions that, overall, will become more drought-prone, according to a separate study.

US scientists report in the journal Climatic Change that rather than make any further predictions about hurricanes, blizzards, droughts or floods they would look in the climate models for the future incidence of good weather around the world: days ideal for walking the dog, watching a football match or going fishing.

Different approach

And they found that although there would be winners in the mid-latitude, temperate zones, globally by the century’s end the number of mild days would drop by between 10 and 13%, thanks to global warming as a consequence of rising levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

Right now, worldwide, there is an average of 74 mellow days a year: by 2035, this will drop to 70, and in the last decade of the century the average will be 64.

“Extreme weather is difficult to relate to because it may happen only once in your lifetime,” said Karin van der Wiel, of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s geophysical fluid dynamics laboratory at Princeton University.

“We took a different approach here and studied a positive meteorological concept, weather that occurs regularly, and that’s easier to relate to.”

So Seattle in the US, with 88 good days a year now, can expect 97 by late in the century. Miami, which can bank on 97 mellow days a year now, will experience only 69 after 2081. 

England and northern Europe could gain another 10 or 15 good days, but some regions in Africa, Asia and Latin America could become a great deal more uncomfortable, with from 15 to 50 fewer mild days.

And across the Pacific, Australian scientists used computer simulations to predict the pattern of change in a world in which temperatures rise, and with them the capacity of the atmosphere to hold moisture.

They were looking not at overall change, but at the likelihood of extreme rainfall in a land that seems to specialise in extended droughts and devastating floods.  

They report in Nature Climate Change that if the world sticks to the Paris Agreement – which would limit average global warming to 2°C – then extreme precipitation would increase by from 11.3% to 30%.

“The long and the short of it is that with 2°C of global warming Australia is stuck with either more aridity, much heavier extreme rains, or some combination of the two”

If the world abandoned the attempt to rein in fossil fuel combustion, and global average temperatures rose by 4°C, then the projected increase in rainfall for extreme events could be between 22% and 60% higher.

“Extreme precipitation is projected to increase almost everywhere in Australia, from tropical regions in the north to mid-latitudes in the south and from dry deserts in the centre to wet places along the coast,” said Jiawei Bao of the Climate Change Research Centre at the University of New South Wales.

And his co-author Steven Sherwood said: “There is no chance that rainfall in Australia will remain the same as the climate warms. The only way that this intensification of extreme rainfall falls at the lower end of the scale is if the continent becomes drier overall.

“The long and the short of it is that with 2°C of global warming Australia is stuck with either more aridity, much heavier extreme rains, or some combination of the two.” – Climate News Network



in Climate News Network

The latest climate news and analysis, direct to your inbox

Subscribe

Related Posts

U.S. Geological Survey/wikimedia commons
Biodiversity & Habitat

Climate Change Amplifies Risk of ‘Insect Apocalypse’

December 1, 2022
43
Alaa Abd El-Fatah/wikimedia commons
COP Conferences

Rights Abuses, Intrusive Conference App Put Egypt Under Spotlight as COP 27 Host

November 14, 2022
26
Western Arctic National Parklands/wikimedia commons
Arctic & Antarctica

Arctic Wildfires Show Approach of New Climate Feedback Loop

January 2, 2023
28

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

I agree to the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy.

Trending Stories

Mike Mozart/Flickr

BP Predicts Faster Oil and Gas Decline as Clean Energy Spending Hits $1.1T in 2022

January 31, 2023
313
Gina Dittmer/PublicDomainPictures

Canada Needs Oil and Gas Emissions Cap to Hit 2030 Goal: NZAB

January 31, 2023
191
Doc Searls/Twitter

Guilbeault Could Intervene on Ontario Greenbelt Development

January 31, 2023
125
Ken Teegardin www.SeniorLiving.Org/flickr

Virtual Power Plants Hit an ‘Inflection Point’

January 31, 2023
115
RL0919/wikimedia commons

Danske Bank Quits New Fossil Fuel Financing

January 23, 2023
2.4k
/snappy goat

Rainforest Carbon Credits from World’s Biggest Provider are ‘Largely Worthless’, Investigation Finds

January 31, 2023
92

Recent Posts

CONFENIAE

Ecuador’s Amazon Drilling Plan Shows Need for Fossil Non-Proliferation Treaty

January 31, 2023
58
Victorgrigas/wikimedia commons

World Bank Climate Reforms Too ‘Timid and Slow,’ Critics Warn

January 31, 2023
41
United Nations

Salvage of $20B ‘Floating Time Bomb’ Delayed by Rising Cost of Oil Tankers

January 27, 2023
120
@tongbingxue/Twitter

Extreme Warming Ahead Even as Worst-Case Scenarios Grow ‘Obsolete’

January 23, 2023
340
Rachel Notley/Facebook

Notley Scorches Federal Just Transition Bill as Fossil CEO Calls for Oilsands Boom

January 23, 2023
312
EcoAnalytics

Albertans Want a Just Transition, Despite Premier’s Grumbling

January 23, 2023
321
Next Post

Thailand Launches 10-year, $11.3-Billion Bioeconomy Plan

The Energy Mix - The climate news you need

Copyright 2023 © Energy Mix Productions Inc. All rights reserved.

  • About
  • Contact
  • Privacy Policy and Copyright
  • Cookie Policy

Proudly partnering with…

scf_withtagline
No Result
View All Result
  • Canada
  • UK & Europe
  • Fossil Fuels
  • Ending Emissions
  • Community Climate Finance
  • Clean Electricity Grid
  • Cities & Communities

Copyright 2022 © Smarter Shift Inc. and Energy Mix Productions Inc. All rights reserved.

Manage Cookie Consent
To provide the best experiences, we use technologies like cookies to store and/or access device information. Consenting to these technologies will allow us to process data such as browsing behaviour or unique IDs on this site. Not consenting or withdrawing consent, may adversely affect certain features and functions.
Functional Always active
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
Preferences
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
Statistics
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes. The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
Marketing
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
Manage options Manage services Manage vendors Read more about these purposes
View preferences
{title} {title} {title}